Filippo Romano vs Marco CecchinatoMilan Round of 32

Milan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#306ATP
1470ELO
1342Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#173ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
Romano F.
7-5 2-6 1-6
Cecchinato M.
Romano F.
7211
Cecchinato M.
5662

Marco Cecchinato advanced to the next round in Milan with a win over Filippo Romano in the Round of 32. Cecchinato lost the first set but won the match 5-7, 6-2, 6-1. He converted 6 service breaks to Romano's 2, and had a higher first-serve win percentage, 81 to 63.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
67%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Romano F.39%
Cecchinato M.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cecchinato M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1365
Surface ELO
7.1+172 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1516
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1566
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
75

Romano F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Cecchinato M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
34°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw