Liam Broady vs Hayato MatsuokaCary Round of 32

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#201ATP
1590ELO
1577Hard ELO
$89kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
hard
COURT 15 · 4th on
#314ATP
1361ELO
1332Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWL
Broady L.
6-1 6-2
Matsuoka H.
Broady L.
662
Matsuoka H.
120

Liam Broady defeated Hayato Matsuoka in the Round of 32 of the Cary hard-court tournament. Broady won the match 6-1, 6-2. He hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 88% of first-serve points and converting 62% of break points en route to 5 service breaks, while Matsuoka had 1 ace and 6 double faults, winning 55% of first-serve points, converting 100% of break points and securing 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Broady L.89%
Matsuoka H.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Broady L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.1+251 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1332
8.0Overall Elo 1601
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1361
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
63

Broady L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Matsuoka H.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw