Talia Gibson vs Marie BouzkovaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#65WTA
1737ELO
1578Grass ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 17 · 1st on
#27WTA
1871ELO
1751Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$7.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWWW
Gibson T.
1-6 6-3 2-6
Bouzkova M.
Gibson T.
1621
Bouzkova M.
6362

Marie Bouzkova defeated Talia Gibson in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 3-6, 6-2 in favor of Bouzkova. Bouzkova hit 4 aces and 3 double faults, while Gibson had 3 aces and 8 double faults; Bouzkova won 7 service breaks to Gibson's 4.

Key context

  • Match story: Marie Bouzkova closed it out in three sets, 6–1 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-30BrisbaneR64hardMarie Bouzkova7-6 3-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
74
46
Break points saved·Dominant
83
47
Break points won·Dominant
70
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
39
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Gibson T.33%
Bouzkova M.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bouzkova M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Grass Elo 1590
Surface ELO
7.0+161 Grass Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1746
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1871
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.74 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.87 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in United Kingdom (26)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
72

Gibson T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d) · Bouzkova M.: played today · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw