Ajla Tomljanovic vs Mariam BolkvadzeWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#93WTA
1745ELO
1683Grass ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 11 · 4th on
#421WTA
1479ELO
1397Grass ELO
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLLW
Tomljanovic A.
2-6 6-2 4-6
Bolkvadze M.
Tomljanovic A.
2641
Bolkvadze M.
6262

Mariam Bolkvadze defeated Ajla Tomljanovic in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 in Bolkvadze's favor. Bolkvadze and Tomljanovic had 0 and 1 aces, 7 and 6 double faults, 53% and 52% first-serve win percentage, 67% and 70% break points converted, and 8 and 7 service breaks, respectively.

Around the match

  • She gave me a little pep talk, which was nice. She said that I can beat anyone and that she'll be just as nervous, probably coming back, first match at Wimbledon's not going to be easy.

    Tomljanovic A.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
38%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
48%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
8.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
33
50
Break points saved·Even
15
17
Break points won·Even
90
89
Deciding sets·Dominant
23
93
Tiebreaks·
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Tomljanovic A.85%
Bolkvadze M.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tomljanovic A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+269 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Grass Elo 1397
8.0Overall Elo 1723
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1479
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.3Won 55% in United Kingdom (33)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw