Emma Navarro vs Paula Badosa — Wimbledon Round of 128
USA23
ESP
Navarro E.
Emma Navarro defeated Paula Badosa in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, 4-6, 6-3, 7-5. Navarro hit 6 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 27% of break points and winning 72% of first-serve points. Badosa had 10 aces and 7 double faults, converting 25% of break points and winning 80% of first-serve points; she secured 2 service breaks to Navarro's 3.
Key context
- Match story: Emma Navarro dropped the opening set before beating Paula Badosa 4–6 6–3 7–5.
Head to head
1–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Berlin | R16 | grass | Paula Badosa | 7-6 6-3 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | QF | hard | Emma Navarro | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome | R64 | clay | Paula Badosa | 1-6 6-4 6-2 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Navarro E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadNavarro E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About