Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA32
Matteo Arnaldi
#34ATP
1830ELO
1630Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWWW
1 — 3
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 4 · 2nd on
Quentin Halys
FRA
Quentin Halys
#57ATP
1707ELO
1608Grass ELO
$721kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Arnaldi M.
6-3 1-6 6-7 3-6
Halys Q.
Arnaldi M.
61631
Halys Q.
36763

Quentin Halys defeated Matteo Arnaldi in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. Halys won in four sets, 3-6, 6-1, 7-6, 6-3. He converted 42% of his break points and held his first serve 91% of the time.

Key context

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13BarcelonaQ1clayQuentin Halys6-1 6-7 7-6
2026-04-11BarcelonaQ32clayQuentin Halys6-1 6-7(1) 7-6(2)

Statistics

This season
Arnaldi M.Halys Q.
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.1
10.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Arnaldi M.Halys Q.
Clutch Rating·Even
54
51
Break points saved·Even
95
95
Break points won·Clear edge
22
2
Deciding sets·Clear edge
58
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Arnaldi M.58%
Halys Q.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Arnaldi M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Halys Q.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1622
Surface ELO
5.1+6 Grass Elo edge
6.6Overall Elo 1841
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1715
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.75 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.1Won 52% in United Kingdom (25)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arnaldi M.Halys Q.
Freshness·Clear edge
80
68

Arnaldi M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Halys Q.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw