Katerina Siniakova vs Qinwen ZhengWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#44WTA
1846ELO
1733Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 14 · 4th on
#127WTA
1852ELO
1622Grass ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWL
Siniakova K.
6-4 6-4
Zheng Q.
Siniakova K.
662
Zheng Q.
440

Katerina Siniakova defeated Qinwen Zheng in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-4, 6-4. Siniakova hit 6 aces to Zheng's 4 and converted 17% of her break points, while Zheng converted none. Siniakova won 2 service breaks to Zheng's 0 in the match.

Key context

  • Match story: Katerina Siniakova edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassKaterina Siniakova7-5 4-6 6-1
2024-06-17BerlinR16grassKaterina Siniakova6-4 6-4
2024-03-18MiamiR64hardQinwen Zheng4-6 6-3 1-0
2023-07-03WimbledonR128grassKaterina Siniakova6-3 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
62%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
9.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.4
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
35
88
Break points saved·Dominant
21
86
Break points won·Slight edge
92
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
20
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
75
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Siniakova K.59%
Zheng Q.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Siniakova K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+140 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Grass Elo 1611
5.0Overall Elo 1859
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1858
8.2Leads 3–0 on grass
H2H
1.8Trails 0–3 on grass
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
4.7Won 45% in United Kingdom (22)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
100

Siniakova K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Zheng Q.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw