Yuta Shimizu vs Trevor SvajdaCary Qualifying Final

Cary · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#393ATP
1446ELO
1417Hard ELO
27 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 2nd on
#383ATP
1485ELO
1451Hard ELO
20 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Shimizu Y.
6-4 7-6
Svajda T.
Shimizu Y.
672
Svajda T.
460

Yuta Shimizu won the final of the Cary hard-court tournament, defeating Trevor Svajda 6-4, 7-6. Shimizu hit 6 aces and 1 double fault, while Svajda had 7 aces and 2 double faults. Shimizu converted 25% of break points and won 1 service break to Svajda's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
43%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Shimizu Y.43%
Svajda T.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1417
Surface ELO
5.4+33 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1447
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1485
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Svajda T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw