Jessica Pegula vs Darja VidmanovaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#3WTA
2097ELO
1903Grass ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
No.2 Court · 1st on
#88WTA
1675ELO
1580Grass ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLW
Pegula J.
7-5 6-3
Vidmanova D.
Pegula J.
762
Vidmanova D.
530

Jessica Pegula defeated Darja Vidmanova in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 6-3 in favor of Pegula. Pegula hit 4 aces and did not commit any double faults, while Vidmanova hit 1 ace and also had 0 double faults; Pegula won 74% of her first serves and converted 75% of her break points, compared to Vidmanova's 49% and 38%, respectively; Pegula had 6 service breaks to Vidmanova's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Pegula J.96%
Vidmanova D.4%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pegula J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+317 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Grass Elo 1587
10.0Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1688
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.03 of last 5 on grass
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
2.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
92

Pegula J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Vidmanova D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw