Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia ZakharovaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#7WTA
2066ELO
1852Grass ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 12 · 3rd on
#91WTA
1742ELO
1632Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWL
Muchova K.
6-3 6-2
Zakharova A.
Muchova K.
662
Zakharova A.
320

Karolina Muchova defeated Anastasia Zakharova in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. Muchova won the match 6-3, 6-2. She hit 10 aces and did not commit a double fault, converting all three of her break points to secure the victory.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosR128clayKarolina Muchova5-7 2-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
0.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
55
Break points saved·Dominant
91
47
Break points won·Even
88
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
67
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Muchova K.87%
Zakharova A.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Muchova K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+182 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Grass Elo 1593
9.0Overall Elo 2041
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1720
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.86 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Zakharova A.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw