Yulia Putintseva vs Tatjana MariaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#81WTA
1805ELO
1640Grass ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 14 · 2nd on
#80WTA
1703ELO
1688Grass ELO
39 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Putintseva Y.
4-6 4-6
Maria T.
Putintseva Y.
440
Maria T.
662

Tatjana Maria defeated Yulia Putintseva in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning 6-4, 6-4 on the grass courts. Maria hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, while Putintseva hit 1 ace and 4 double faults. Maria converted 36% of her break points and won 75% of her first-serve points, securing 4 service breaks to Putintseva's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Tatjana Maria edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-18GuangzhouQFhardYulia Putintseva6-4 6-7 6-0
2018-07-30WashingtonR32hardYulia Putintseva6-3 3-6 6-4
2016-04-25RabatR16clayYulia Putintseva6-0 6-2
2015-07-13BastadR32clayYulia Putintseva6-4 6-1
2015-05-04Cagnes sur Mer $100KQFclayTatjana Maria6-1 4-6 6-3
2012-05-24Roland GarrosQ64clayTatjana Maria6-1 1-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
71%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
2
Break points saved·Dominant
29
4
Break points won·Dominant
95
70
Deciding sets·Dominant
67
3
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
30
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Putintseva Y.72%
Maria T.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Putintseva Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1640
Surface ELO
5.1+5 Grass Elo edge
6.8Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1659
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.14 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.3Won 38% in United Kingdom (29)
Country comfort
5.1Won 51% in United Kingdom (41)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
88

Putintseva Y.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 37 games (7d) · Maria T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw