Claire Liu vs Hanne VandewinkelWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#114WTA
1669ELO
1514Grass ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 9 · 3rd on
#82WTA
1690ELO
1539Grass ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Liu C.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Vandewinkel H.
Liu C.
4662
Vandewinkel H.
6341

Claire Liu defeated Hanne Vandewinkel in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 in favor of Liu. Liu and Vandewinkel recorded 0 and 4 aces, respectively, while Liu committed 4 double faults to Vandewinkel's 1; Liu converted 71% of break points to Vandewinkel's 57%, and Liu achieved 5 service breaks to Vandewinkel's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 46). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
29
78
Break points saved·Dominant
23
70
Break points won·Clear edge
76
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
34
93
Tiebreaks·
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Liu C.28%
Vandewinkel H.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vandewinkel H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Grass Elo 1499
Surface ELO
5.8+62 Grass Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1704
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.94 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.93 of last 8 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
91
75

Liu C.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Vandewinkel H.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw