Aryna Sabalenka vs Teodora Kostovic — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
1987Grass ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 2nd on
SRBQ
Teodora Kostovic
#150WTA
1532ELO
1441Grass ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
Sabalenka A.
6-2 6-3
Kostovic T.
Sabalenka A.
662
Kostovic T.
230

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Teodora Kostovic in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning 6-2, 6-3 on the grass courts. Sabalenka hit 5 aces and 1 double fault, winning 83% of her first serves and converting 45% of break points. She secured 5 service breaks to Kostovic's 1.

Around the match

  • “She's fun, and she's a legend. It's inspiring to see. I'm actually excited to see her play and probably face her, so it's very cool. It's very good news for tennis.”

    Sabalenka A.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “Let's see if she can deal with my power. Of course I can beat her. I can beat anybody when I'm in the zone.”

    Kostovic T.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “I'm a big fighter. Yes, I fight for every point, and I think all the girls know that now. I will never give up. Even if I'm down 6-0, 5-0, 40-0, I will fight and fight, because that's me.”

    Kostovic T.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “It's good that she has that self-belief. It's a good thing to have.”

    Sabalenka A.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Kostovic T.
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Sabalenka A.97%
Kostovic T.3%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sabalenka A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kostovic T.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
10.0+549 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Grass Elo 1438
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1527
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.4Won 74% in United Kingdom (34)
Country comfort
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Kostovic T.
Freshness·Dominant
66
100

Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Kostovic T.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw