Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi OsakaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#102WTA
1611ELO
1522Grass ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
No.3 Court · 3rd on
#13WTA
1987ELO
1793Grass ELO
$1.8MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Jacquemot E.
1-6 5-7
Osaka N.
Jacquemot E.
150
Osaka N.
672

Naomi Osaka defeated Elsa Jacquemot in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 7-5 in Osaka's favor. Osaka hit 6 aces and committed 2 double faults, while converting 38% of her break points and winning 74% of her first-serve points.

Key context

  • Match story: Naomi Osaka came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
36%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
5.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
33
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
75
85
Break points won·Slight edge
93
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
17
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
19
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Jacquemot E.8%
Osaka N.92%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Osaka N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Grass Elo 1524
Surface ELO
7.7+218 Grass Elo edge
0.5Overall Elo 1610
ELO gap
9.5Overall Elo 1972
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.75 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
87

Jacquemot E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Osaka N.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw