Gustavo Heide vs Federico Agustin Gomez — Milan Round of 32

Milan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
BRA5
Gustavo Heide
#133ATP
1695ELO
1679Clay ELO
$178kYTD
$620kCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 10 · 4th on
ARG
Federico Agustin Gomez
#181ATP
1445ELO
1410Clay ELO
$29kYTD
$680kCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Heide G.
6-4 6-1
Gomez F.
Heide G.
662
Gomez F.
410

Gustavo Heide defeated Federico Agustin Gomez in the Round of 32 of the Milan clay tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-1 in favor of Heide. Key stats included Heide converting 43% of break points and securing three service breaks, compared to Gomez's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Heide G.Gomez F.
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
5.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Heide G.Gomez F.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
51
36
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
82
Break points won·Slight edge
10
18
Deciding sets·Even
63
62
Tiebreaks·Dominant
88
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Heide G.89%
Gomez F.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Heide G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Heide G.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Gomez F.
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
8.6+291 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Clay Elo 1400
8.4Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1433
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
7.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.13 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Heide G.Gomez F.
Freshness·Even
89
85

Heide G.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Gomez F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
36°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%

Draw