Daniil Glinka vs Aidan Mayo — Cary Round of 32

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
EST3
Daniil Glinka
#160ATP
1477ELO
1491Hard ELO
$131kYTD
$268kCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 3rd on
USAPR
Aidan Mayo
#616ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLWW
Glinka D.
7-6 2-6 7-6
Mayo A.
Glinka D.
7272
Mayo A.
6661

Daniil Glinka defeated Aidan Mayo in the Round of 32 of the Cary hard-court tournament. The match was decided in three sets, with Glinka taking 7-6, 2-6, 7-6. Glinka served nine aces and committed 10 double faults, while Mayo served 16 aces and committed five double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniil Glinka closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Glinka D.Mayo A.
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Glinka D.Mayo A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
23
12
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
68
Break points won·Slight edge
9
1
Deciding sets·Even
6
7
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Glinka D.68%
Mayo A.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Glinka D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Glinka D.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Mayo A.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+136 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1359
6.3Overall Elo 1485
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1380
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.45 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Glinka D.Mayo A.
Freshness·Clear edge
70
82

Glinka D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Mayo A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw