Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
Rafael Jodar
ESP23
Rafael Jodar
#11ATP
1999ELO
1699Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
No.3 Court · 1st on
GBRWC
Felix Gill
#221ATP
1499ELO
1378Grass ELO
24 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLW
Jodar R.
6-3 6-3 7-5
Gill F.
Jodar R.
6673
Gill F.
3350

Rafael Jodar defeated Felix Gill in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. Jodar won in straight sets 6-3, 6-3, 7-5. Jodar had 7 aces and 2 double faults, while Gill had 8 aces and 2 double faults; Jodar converted 45% of break points and broke Gill's serve 5 times, compared to Gill's 1 service break.

Key context

  • Match story: Rafael Jodar closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Jodar R.Gill F.
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jodar R.Gill F.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
46
Break points saved·Clear edge
91
78
Break points won·Dominant
71
6
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
70
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Jodar R.96%
Gill F.4%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Jodar R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jodar R.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Gill F.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+291 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Grass Elo 1408
10.0Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1490
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.73 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jodar R.Gill F.
Freshness·Clear edge
65
88

Jodar R.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Gill F.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw