Hugo Gaston vs Stefanos TsitsipasWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#97ATP
1622ELO
1509Grass ELO
$376kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLWW
0 — 3
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 16 · 2nd on
#49ATP
1833ELO
1673Grass ELO
$1000kYTD
$38MCAREER
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Gaston H.
1-6 4-6 2-6
Tsitsipas S.
Gaston H.
1420
Tsitsipas S.
6663

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Hugo Gaston in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 6-4, 6-2 in favor of Tsitsipas. Tsitsipas hit 8 aces and committed 1 double fault, while converting 31% of break points and winning 88% of first-serve points.

Key context

  • Match story: Stefanos Tsitsipas came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 6–4 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-02-14MarseilleR16hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
89
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
99
Break points won·Dominant
35
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
82
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Gaston H.8%
Tsitsipas S.92%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tsitsipas S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Grass Elo 1509
Surface ELO
7.3+187 Grass Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1621
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1843
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.35 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.7Won 62% in United Kingdom (21)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
81

Gaston H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Tsitsipas S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw