Magdalena Frech vs Anna KalinskayaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#41WTA
1725ELO
1555Grass ELO
$778kYTD
$4.9MCAREER
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 15 · 4th on
#21WTA
1907ELO
1724Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$7.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Frech M.
6-7 4-6
Kalinskaya A.
Frech M.
640
Kalinskaya A.
762

Anna Kalinskaya defeated Magdalena Frech in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning 7-6, 6-4 on the grass courts. The match saw Kalinskaya and Frech hit an equal number of aces, five each, while Kalinskaya committed one double fault to Frech's six. Kalinskaya won three service breaks to Frech's two.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-18HamburgR32clayMagdalena Frech6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
20
75
Break points saved·Clear edge
15
38
Break points won·Dominant
49
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
28
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
71
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Frech M.21%
Kalinskaya A.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kalinskaya A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Grass Elo 1565
Surface ELO
7.0+162 Grass Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1729
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1915
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
1.92 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
71
70

Frech M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Kalinskaya A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw