Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet DartWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#30WTA
1855ELO
1770Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
No.1 Court · 1st on
#143WTA
1597ELO
1512Grass ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Ostapenko J.
6-3 3-6 6-4
Dart H.
Ostapenko J.
6362
Dart H.
3641

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Harriet Dart in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 in Ostapenko's favor. Ostapenko hit 5 aces and 13 double faults, while Dart had 3 aces and 3 double faults; Ostapenko won 71% of her first-serve points and converted 40% of her break points, compared to Dart's 57% and 56%, respectively.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-26EastbourneR16grassJelena Ostapenko6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
68
40
Break points saved·Clear edge
25
3
Break points won·Clear edge
100
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
62
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Ostapenko J.83%
Dart H.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ostapenko J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+244 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Grass Elo 1521
8.1Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1604
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
1.72 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.1Won 69% in United Kingdom (61)
Country comfort
4.6Won 44% in United Kingdom (41)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
82

Ostapenko J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Dart H.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw