Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja ChwalinskaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#105WTA
1696ELO
1592Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 12 · 1st on
#23WTA
1833ELO
1600Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
Sawangkaew M.
2-6 7-5 6-2
Chwalinska M.
Sawangkaew M.
2762
Chwalinska M.
6521

Mananchaya Sawangkaew defeated Maja Chwalinska in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 7-5, 6-2 in favor of Sawangkaew. Sawangkaew hit 4 aces and 5 double faults, while Chwalinska hit 2 aces and 3 double faults; Sawangkaew won 6 service breaks to Chwalinska's 5.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
50%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
84
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
50
Break points won·Slight edge
92
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
80
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Sawangkaew M.33%
Chwalinska M.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Chwalinska M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1592
Surface ELO
5.0+1 Grass Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1697
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1820
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.94 of last 8 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
79
79

Sawangkaew M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Chwalinska M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw