Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
Emilio Nava
USA
Emilio Nava
#108ATP
1704ELO
1560Grass ELO
$536kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
1 — 3
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 4 · 1st on
Ignacio Buse
PER31
Ignacio Buse
#36ATP
1822ELO
1631Grass ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Nava E.
6-7 6-3 5-7 0-6
Buse I.
Nava E.
66501
Buse I.
73763

Ignacio Buse defeated Emilio Nava in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 3-6, 7-5, 6-0 in favor of Buse. Buse converted 67% of his break points and secured 6 service breaks, compared to Nava's 3 breaks and 33% break point conversion rate.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Nava E.Buse I.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nava E.Buse I.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
23
63
Break points saved·Even
91
87
Break points won·Clear edge
14
28
Deciding sets·Dominant
41
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Nava E.30%
Buse I.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Buse I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nava E.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Buse I.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1574
Surface ELO
5.6+49 Grass Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1700
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1826
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.52 of last 6 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nava E.Buse I.
Freshness·
—
90

Buse I.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw