Justin Boulais vs Jay Dylan Hara FriendCary Qualifying Final

Cary · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#398ATP
1352ELO
1326Hard ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 1st on
#315ATP
1503ELO
1480Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLL
Boulais J.
6-7 6-4 3-6
Dylan Hara Friend J.
Boulais J.
6631
Dylan Hara Friend J.
7462

Jay Dylan Hara Friend won the final of the Cary hard-court tournament, defeating Justin Boulais 7-6, 4-6, 6-3. Friend served eight aces to Boulais' six and committed one double fault to Boulais' four. Both players converted one service break apiece, with Friend winning 84% of his first-serve points to Boulais' 80%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Boulais J.11%
Dylan Hara Friend J.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Dylan Hara Friend J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1326
Surface ELO
6.9+154 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1352
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1503
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
8.08 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
99

Boulais J.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Dylan Hara Friend J.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw