Peyton Stearns vs Nikola BartunkovaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#53WTA
1804ELO
1559Grass ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 7 · 3rd on
#39WTA
1788ELO
1679Grass ELO
$767kYTD
$973kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Stearns P.
4-6 6-3 5-7
Bartunkova N.
Stearns P.
4651
Bartunkova N.
6372

Nikola Bartunkova defeated Peyton Stearns in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 victory. Bartunkova hit 13 aces and committed 8 double faults, while converting 38% of break points and winning 80% of first-serve points. She secured 5 service breaks to Stearns' 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
45
72
Break points saved·Dominant
43
76
Break points won·Slight edge
96
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
17
75
Tiebreaks·
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Stearns P.36%
Bartunkova N.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bartunkova N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1562
Surface ELO
6.5+117 Grass Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1821
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1788
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.37 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
81

Stearns P.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Bartunkova N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw