Anastasia Gasanova vs Emiliana ArangoWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#193WTA
1491ELO
1432Grass ELO
27 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 16 · 4th on
#95WTA
1624ELO
1495Grass ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWLW
Gasanova A.
6-3 6-1
Arango E.
Gasanova A.
662
Arango E.
310

Anastasia Gasanova defeated Emiliana Arango in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-3, 6-1. Gasanova converted 43% of her break points and secured six service breaks, while Arango converted 29% of her break points and secured two service breaks. Gasanova had zero aces and eight double faults, compared to Arango's two aces and one double fault.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
36
23
Break points saved·Slight edge
21
10
Break points won·Dominant
100
35
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
68
Tiebreaks·
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Gasanova A.39%
Arango E.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Arango E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1414
3.8Overall Elo 1499
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1595
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.73 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

Arango E.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw