Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Andrade — Brasov Round of 32

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
POLALT
Maks Kasnikowski
#234ATP
1400ELO
1418Clay ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 3rd on
ECU
Andres Andrade
#256ATP
1505ELO
1487Clay ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLL
Kasnikowski M.
7-6 6-1
Andrade A.
Kasnikowski M.
762
Andrade A.
610

Maks Kasnikowski defeated Andres Andrade in the Round of 32 at the Brasov clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-1 in favor of Kasnikowski.

Key context

  • Match story: Maks Kasnikowski came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kasnikowski M.Andrade A.
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kasnikowski M.Andrade A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
14
44
Break points saved·Even
56
53
Break points won·Dominant
16
50
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Kasnikowski M.34%
Andrade A.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Andrade A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kasnikowski M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Andrade A.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1416
Surface ELO
6.1+84 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1399
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1518
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kasnikowski M.Andrade A.
Freshness·Dominant
97
61

Kasnikowski M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Andrade A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 104 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
34°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 29%

Draw