Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
Roberto Bautista Agut
ESP
Roberto Bautista Agut
#183ATP
1700ELO
1662Grass ELO
$442kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLW
0 — 3
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 18 · 3rd on
Joao Fonseca
BRA24
Joao Fonseca
#26ATP
1928ELO
1686Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Bautista Agut R.
6-7 4-6 3-6
Fonseca J.
Bautista Agut R.
6430
Fonseca J.
7663

Joao Fonseca defeated Roberto Bautista Agut in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-4, 6-3 in favor of Fonseca.

Key context

  • Match story: Joao Fonseca closed it out in three sets, 7–6 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Bautista Agut R.Fonseca J.
1st serve in·Even
68%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
56%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
33%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
54%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
5.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.4
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bautista Agut R.Fonseca J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
66
Break points saved·Even
94
95
Break points won·Dominant
57
24
Deciding sets·Even
93
90
Tiebreaks·Even
89
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Bautista Agut R.20%
Fonseca J.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fonseca J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bautista Agut R.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Fonseca J.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1662
Surface ELO
5.3+24 Grass Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1700
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1928
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.1Won 68% in United Kingdom (34)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bautista Agut R.Fonseca J.
Freshness·
—
83

Fonseca J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw