Mili Poljicak vs Alejo Sanchez QuilezMilan Qualifying Semi-final

Milan · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#264ATP
1471ELO
1442Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 28 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 10 · 2nd on
#446ATP
1293ELO
1268Clay ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Poljicak M.
7-6 4-6 2-6
Sanchez Quilez A.
Poljicak M.
7421
Sanchez Quilez A.
6662

Alejo Sanchez Quilez defeated Mili Poljicak in the semifinals of the Milan clay tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 in favor of Sanchez Quilez. Sanchez Quilez had 4 aces and 5 double faults, while Poljicak had 10 aces and 1 double fault; Sanchez Quilez won 87% of first-serve points and converted 36% of break points, compared to Poljicak's 70% and 20%, respectively; Sanchez Quilez secured 4 service breaks to Poljicak's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Poljicak M.90%
Sanchez Quilez A.10%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Poljicak M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+194 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1268
7.5Overall Elo 1493
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1293
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Poljicak M.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw