Quinn Vandecasteele vs Masamichi ImamuraCary Qualifying Semi-final

Cary · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#483ATP
1383ELO
1368Hard ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 28 June 2026 ·
hard
Court 3 · 1st on
#422ATP
1328ELO
1297Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWLLL
Vandecasteele Q.
3-6 3-6
Imamura M.
Vandecasteele Q.
330
Imamura M.
662

Masamichi Imamura defeated Quinn Vandecasteele in the semifinals of the Cary tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3 on hard courts. Imamura hit one ace and zero double faults, while Vandecasteele had eight aces and three double faults. Imamura converted 56% of his break points and won five service breaks to Vandecasteele's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Vandecasteele Q.70%
Imamura M.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vandecasteele Q. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+70 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1297
5.7Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1328
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
88

Vandecasteele Q.: 7 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Imamura M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw