Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Gonzalo VillanuevaPiracicaba Semi-final

Piracicaba · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#281ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 27 June 2026 ·
clay
#322ATP
1361ELO
1350Clay ELO
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-3 5-7 1-6
Villanueva G.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6511
Villanueva G.
3762

Gonzalo Villanueva defeated Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the semifinals of the Piracicaba tournament on clay, 3-6, 7-5, 6-1. Villanueva and Pucinelli De Almeida were even in aces, 3-3, and double faults, 1-3. Villanueva converted 64% of break points, while Pucinelli De Almeida converted 62%, as Villanueva secured 7 service breaks to Pucinelli De Almeida's 5.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-04-01M15 Villa Maria 1R16clayMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida6-4 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
50%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
5
23
Break points saved·Clear edge
36
19
Break points won·Clear edge
43
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
83
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
1
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Pucinelli De Almeida M.72%
Villanueva G.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Pucinelli De Almeida M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+113 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1278
6.4Overall Elo 1400
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1291
5.5Split 2–2 on clay
H2H
4.5Split 2–2 on clay
7.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw