Xiyu Wang vs Naomi Osaka — Bad Homburg Semi-final
JPN6
Wang X.
Naomi Osaka defeated Xiyu Wang in the semifinals of the Bad Homburg grass tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3. Osaka served eight aces to Wang's one and converted 57% of her break points, while Wang converted all three of her break points. Osaka won 80% of her first-serve points to Wang's 60%, and she broke Wang's serve four times to Wang's one.
Around the match
“They are an expression of my personality, I like myself when I wear what really suits me, it helps me play freely.”
Osaka N.FAZ ↗“I had to learn that I don't always have to meet others' expectations to be accepted.”
Osaka N.FAZ ↗“Every week, wins and losses confront our psyche. It's difficult to deal with. What matters is not defining your self-worth solely through results.”
Wang X.FAZ ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Naomi Osaka dropped just 6 games past Xiyu Wang.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Osaka N. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.