Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaMallorca Semi-final

Mallorca · ATP · Semi-final
#63ATP
1784ELO
1654Grass ELO
$765kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 26 June 2026 ·
grass
#27ATP
1893ELO
1782Grass ELO
$1.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
Marozsan F.
7-5 2-6 4-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
7241
Davidovich Fokina A.
5662

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Fabian Marozsan in the semifinals of the Mallorca grass tournament, 5-7, 6-2, 6-4. Davidovich Fokina hit 7 aces and converted 43% of break points, while Marozsan hit 4 aces and converted 14% of break points. Davidovich Fokina won 3 service breaks to Marozsan's 1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-01WimbledonR64grassAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 6-0 6-3
2024-02-26DubaiR32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 4-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Even
4.7
4.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
87
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Dominant
17
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Marozsan F.33%
Davidovich Fokina A.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Davidovich Fokina A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1487
Surface ELO
5.6+46 Grass Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1864
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.56 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Marozsan F.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw