Jack Draper vs Ugo HumbertEastbourne Semi-final

Eastbourne · ATP · Semi-final
#143ATP
1822ELO
1704Grass ELO
$351kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 26 June 2026 ·
grass
#30ATP
1868ELO
1769Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWWL
Draper J.
5-7 3-6
Humbert U.
Draper J.
530
Humbert U.
762

Ugo Humbert defeated Jack Draper in the Eastbourne semifinals, advancing with a 7-5, 6-3 victory on grass. Humbert hit 5 aces and 3 double faults, winning 76% of his first serves and converting 40% of break points. He secured 2 service breaks to Draper's 0.

Around the match

  • I feel great. It's obviously been a difficult year with injury setbacks but I'm gaining more confidence in my body. It feels amazing to reach the semi-finals.

    Draper J.BBC
  • I'm not sure how good an idea it was to wear all black, and I was definitely feeling it yesterday, but it's the only kit I've got with me.

    Draper J.BBC
  • It's the best gift I could have today. Thanks so much for the birthday wishes. It's nice to see Jack back on court. The level was really impressive and I was a bit lucky in the second set.

    Humbert U.Sky Sports

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Ugo Humbert closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-25TokyoQFhardUgo Humbert7-5 2-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
70%
67%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
66%
Aces / match·Even
7.0
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
42
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
88
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
28
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Draper J.44%
Humbert U.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1576
Surface ELO
5.1+4 Grass Elo edge
6.9Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1849
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.0Won 67% in United Kingdom (21)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
8.5Reached the semis here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
90

Draper J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Humbert U.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw