Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel — Eastbourne Semi-final

Eastbourne · ATP · Semi-final

BEL

Zizou Bergs

#33ATP

1808ELO

1712Grass ELO

$1.1MYTD

$4.1MCAREER

27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWLLWWWWW

2 — 1

Sets

Friday, 26 June 2026 · 14:35

grass

GBR

Toby Samuel

#113ATP

1745ELO

1595Grass ELO

$217kYTD

$332kCAREER

23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWWWWLWW

Bergs Z.

4-6 7-6 6-2

Samuel T.

Bergs Z.

4762

Samuel T.

6621

Zizou Bergs defeated Toby Samuel in the semifinals of the Eastbourne tournament on grass, winning 4-6, 7-6, 6-2. Bergs hit 11 aces to Samuel's 4 and converted 62% of his break points, compared to Samuel's 40%. Bergs won 75% of his first-serve points to Samuel's 63%, and secured 5 service breaks to Samuel's 4.

Key context

Match story: Zizou Bergs dropped the opening set before beating Toby Samuel 4–6 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Bergs Z.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Samuel T.

Samuel T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on grass

Bergs Z.Samuel T.

Serve

—

Return

—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Bergs Z.Samuel T.

1st serve in·Slight edge

58%

67%

1st serve points won·Even

73%

69%

2nd serve points won·Even

52%

54%

Service points won·Even

65%

64%

Return points won·Slight edge

36%

41%

Break points saved·Even

63%

67%

Aces / match·Dominant

7.7

3.9

Double faults / match·Dominant

4.4

1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC

Bergs Z.62%

Samuel T.38%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bergs Z. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Bergs Z.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Samuel T.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.5+41 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.5Grass Elo 1504

6.8Overall Elo 1798

ELO gap

3.2Overall Elo 1652

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.45 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

6.87 of last 10 on grass

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

6.0Reached the R32 here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Bergs Z.Samuel T.

Freshness·Clear edge

100

Bergs Z.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Samuel T.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather

24°CClear

Wind 25 km/hHumidity 68%

Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel — Eastbourne Semi-final

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass