Maria Timofeeva vs Heather Watson — Wimbledon Qualifying Final
UZB1
Timofeeva M.
Maria Timofeeva won the Wimbledon final, defeating Heather Watson 3-6, 6-2, 6-1. Timofeeva hit 4 aces and 3 double faults, winning 65% of her first serves, while converting 35% of break points and securing 6 service breaks. Watson recorded 1 ace and 4 double faults, winning 55% of her first serves, converting 60% of break points, and securing 3 service breaks.
Key context
- Match story: Maria Timofeeva dropped the opening set before beating Heather Watson 3–6 6–2 6–1.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Timofeeva M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadTimofeeva M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 9 games (7d) · Watson H.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About