Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barrios VeraWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
#124ATP
1460ELO
1362Grass ELO
$256kYTD
$861kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWL
3 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#147ATP
1615ELO
1563Grass ELO
$207kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLW
Sweeny D.
4-6 6-4 7-6 0-6 6-2
Barrios Vera T.
Sweeny D.
467063
Barrios Vera T.
646622

Dane Sweeny won the Wimbledon final, defeating Tomas Barrios Vera 4-6, 6-4, 7-6, 0-6, 6-2. The match saw Sweeny hit one ace and no double faults, while Barrios Vera had three aces and two double faults. Sweeny converted 11% of break points and broke Barrios Vera's serve once, equaling the Chilean's single service break.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-10-08M25 Toowoomba 1R32hardDane Sweeny4-6 6-1 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
45
16
Break points saved·Even
69
72
Break points won·Even
11
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
5
Tiebreaks·Even
86
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Sweeny D.17%
Barrios Vera T.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Barrios Vera T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1518
Surface ELO
5.2+14 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1613
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1652
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.05 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
100

Sweeny D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Barrios Vera T.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw