Iryna Shymanovich vs Katherine SebovWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
#192WTA
1542ELO
1476Grass ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#213WTA
1407ELO
1364Grass ELO
27 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
Shymanovich I.
4-6 6-3 7-6
Sebov K.
Shymanovich I.
4672
Sebov K.
6361

Iryna Shymanovich won the Wimbledon final, defeating Katherine Sebov 4-6, 6-3, 7-6. The match saw both players hit one ace and make a similar number of double faults, 4 for Shymanovich and 3 for Sebov. Shymanovich won 67% of her first serves, converting 55% of break points, while Sebov converted 56% of break points, with Shymanovich securing 6 service breaks to Sebov's 5.

Around the match

  • I thought I was going home. To be honest, I kind of accepted the fact that I'd lost at 5-2. I didn't even know I was match point down. But I was just trying to make it very difficult.

    Sebov K.WTA Tennis
  • I have this mindset of just going to trust whatever's in store for me. I'm not going to force things. I'm just going to let myself do it, because I'm very talented.

    Sebov K.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-19W50 Zephyrhills 1SFclayIryna Shymanovich6-3 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
78%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
35
51
Break points saved·Slight edge
44
53
Break points won·Even
85
83
Deciding sets·Dominant
28
64
Tiebreaks·
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Shymanovich I.69%
Sebov K.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shymanovich I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+13 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1500
5.2Overall Elo 1542
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1522
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.05 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.43 of last 5 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Shymanovich I.: 21 days rest · Sebov K.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw