Emma Navarro vs Elena Gabriela RuseBad Homburg Quarter-final

Bad Homburg · WTA · Quarter-final
#28WTA
1866ELO
1774Grass ELO
$922kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#74WTA
1850ELO
1765Grass ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
Navarro E.
4-6 2-6
Gabriela Ruse E.
Navarro E.
420
Gabriela Ruse E.
662

Elena Gabriela Ruse defeated Emma Navarro 6-4, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the Bad Homburg tournament on grass. Ruse hit 4 aces and 1 double fault, winning 82% of her first serves and converting 60% of her break points. She won 3 service breaks to Navarro's 0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-15DubaiR64hardEmma Navarro6-4 7-5
2025-09-24BeijingR64hardEmma Navarro6-3 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.3
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
71
45
Break points saved·Dominant
45
11
Break points won·Even
97
93
Deciding sets·Even
88
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
70
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Navarro E.57%
Gabriela Ruse E.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+54 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1553
5.5Overall Elo 1756
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1719
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.08 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
92

Navarro E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Gabriela Ruse E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw