Clement Tabur vs Shintaro MochizukiWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
#163ATP
1607ELO
1480Grass ELO
$202kYTD
$642kCAREER
26 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWW
2 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#112ATP
1475ELO
1520Grass ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
Tabur C.
6-1 5-7 6-2 3-6 1-6
Mochizuki S.
Tabur C.
656312
Mochizuki S.
172663

Shintaro Mochizuki won the Wimbledon final, defeating Clement Tabur 1-6, 7-5, 2-6, 6-3, 6-1. Mochizuki hit 0 aces and 1 double fault, while Tabur had 3 aces and 1 double fault. Mochizuki converted 50% of break points and won 2 service breaks, compared to Tabur's 100% conversion rate and 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
51%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
58%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.5
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
29
25
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
60
Break points won·Dominant
23
68
Deciding sets·Dominant
33
5
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
40
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Tabur C.71%
Mochizuki S.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tabur C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1498
Surface ELO
5.3+27 Grass Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1621
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1556
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw