Tatjana Maria vs Tereza ValentovaEastbourne Quarter-final

Eastbourne · WTA · Quarter-final
#80WTA
1703ELO
1688Grass ELO
39 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#64WTA
1818ELO
1648Grass ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Maria T.
6-3 7-5
Valentova T.
Maria T.
672
Valentova T.
350

Tatjana Maria advanced to the Eastbourne quarterfinals with a 6-3, 7-5 victory over Tereza Valentova. Maria hit 8 aces to Valentova's 3 and committed 3 double faults to Valentova's 6. Maria converted 36% of her break points and won 4 service breaks to Valentova's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Tatjana Maria closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Maria T.23%
Valentova T.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Valentova T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+101 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Grass Elo 1503
3.9Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1662
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.04 of last 6 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
72

Maria T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Valentova T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw