Ethan Quinn vs Vit KoprivaMallorca Quarter-final

Mallorca · ATP · Quarter-final
#58ATP
1804ELO
1712Grass ELO
$786kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#71ATP
1740ELO
1622Grass ELO
$827kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLL
Quinn E.
5-7 7-5 6-3
Kopriva V.
Quinn E.
5762
Kopriva V.
7531

Ethan Quinn defeated Vit Kopriva in the quarterfinals of the Mallorca grass tournament. Quinn won 5-7, 7-5, 6-3, despite being broken on all of his three conversion chances. Quinn converted three of eight break points and saved six double faults in the match.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaQ1hardEthan Quinn4-6 6-1 6-1
2025-10-18ViennaQ16hardEthan Quinn4-6 6-1 6-1
2025-06-22MallorcaQ2grassEthan Quinn5-7 7-5 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
67
56
Break points saved·Even
89
85
Break points won·Dominant
29
62
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Quinn E.58%
Kopriva V.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Quinn E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+18 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1512
5.6Overall Elo 1781
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1734
7.8Leads 2–0 on grass
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on grass
7.27 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Kopriva V.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw