Andrej Nedic vs Max Alcala Gurri — Targu Mures Quarter-final

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
BIH3
Andrej Nedic
#250ATP
1515ELO
1506Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
clay
Max Alcala Gurri
ESP8
Max Alcala Gurri
#176ATP
1581ELO
1564Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLL
Nedic A.
6-2 6-4
Alcala Gurri M.
Nedic A.
662
Alcala Gurri M.
240

Andrej Nedic advanced to the semifinals of the Targu Mures quarterfinals by defeating Max Alcala Gurri. Nedic won the match in straight sets, 6-2, 6-4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Nedic A.Alcala Gurri M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Even
51%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
0.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Nedic A.54%
Alcala Gurri M.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nedic A.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Alcala Gurri M.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1522
Surface ELO
5.5+36 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1518
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1615
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nedic A.Alcala Gurri M.
Freshness·Clear edge
84
97

Nedic A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Alcala Gurri M.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 29%

Draw