Hugo Gaston vs Moez EcharguiWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
#97ATP
1622ELO
1509Grass ELO
$376kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#197ATP
1416ELO
1388Grass ELO
$171kYTD
$469kCAREER
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLLWW
Gaston H.
6-1 5-7 6-2 6-4
Echargui M.
Gaston H.
65663
Echargui M.
17241

Hugo Gaston won the Wimbledon final, defeating Moez Echargui in four sets: 6-1, 5-7, 6-2, 6-4. Gaston hit four aces and committed four double faults, while Echargui had three aces and six double faults. Gaston converted 39% of his break points and won seven service breaks to Echargui's four.

Key context

  • Match story: Hugo Gaston came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 5–7 6–2 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
4
Break points saved·Dominant
87
48
Break points won·Clear edge
35
11
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
4
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Gaston H.84%
Echargui M.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gaston H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1497
Surface ELO
5.1+7 Grass Elo edge
6.8Overall Elo 1645
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1502
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
91

Gaston H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Echargui M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw