Oceane Dodin vs Mananchaya SawangkaewWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
#327WTA
1539ELO
1454Grass ELO
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#105WTA
1696ELO
1592Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Dodin O.
7-5 5-7 1-6
Sawangkaew M.
Dodin O.
7511
Sawangkaew M.
5762

Mananchaya Sawangkaew won the Wimbledon final, defeating Oceane Dodin 5-7, 7-5, 6-1. Sawangkaew served 7 aces to Dodin's 5 and converted 67% of her break points, while Dodin converted 57%. Sawangkaew won 2 service breaks to Dodin's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.1
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
84
Break points saved·Dominant
16
74
Break points won·Dominant
30
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
97
Tiebreaks·
32

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Dodin O.19%
Sawangkaew M.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sawangkaew M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1466
Surface ELO
5.6+52 Grass Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1626
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Sawangkaew M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw