Alejandro Moro Canas vs Soon Woo KwonWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
#240ATP
1526ELO
1487Grass ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
0 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#152ATP
1744ELO
1589Grass ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Moro Canas A.
4-6 6-7 3-6
Woo Kwon S.
Moro Canas A.
4630
Woo Kwon S.
6763

Soon Woo Kwon won the Wimbledon final, defeating Alejandro Moro Canas 6-4, 7-6, 6-3. Kwon converted 50% of his break points, securing three service breaks compared to Moro Canas' one, and won 77% of his first-serve points. Moro Canas hit 11 aces but committed fewer double faults than Kwon, who had five aces in the match.

Key context

  • Match story: Soon Woo Kwon closed it out in three sets, 6–4 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
53%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
24
48
Break points saved·Even
82
86
Break points won·Clear edge
35
15
Deciding sets·Dominant
20
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Moro Canas A.17%
Woo Kwon S.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Woo Kwon S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1505
Surface ELO
5.2+13 Grass Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1573
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1721
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
54

Moro Canas A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Woo Kwon S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw