Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Tristan BoyerWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
#130ATP
1757ELO
1570Grass ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLWWL
1 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#170ATP
1561ELO
1423Grass ELO
$105kYTD
$960kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWWL
Llamas Ruiz P.
5-7 7-6 6-7 3-6
Boyer T.
Llamas Ruiz P.
57631
Boyer T.
76763

Tristan Boyer won the Wimbledon final, defeating Pablo Llamas Ruiz 7-5, 6-7, 7-6, 6-3. Boyer served 23 aces and converted 42% of break points, while Llamas Ruiz had one ace and converted 6%. Boyer won 78% of first-serve points and broke Llamas Ruiz five times, compared to Llamas Ruiz' one service break.

Key context

  • Match story: Tristan Boyer closed it out in four sets, 7–5 6–7 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
43
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
83
Break points won·Clear edge
39
20
Deciding sets·Even
79
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Llamas Ruiz P.80%
Boyer T.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Llamas Ruiz P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1497
Surface ELO
5.0+0 Grass Elo edge
6.0Overall Elo 1727
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1644
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.34 of last 8 on grass
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
82

Llamas Ruiz P.: played today · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Boyer T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw