Mariam Bolkvadze vs Jeline VandrommeWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
#421WTA
1479ELO
1397Grass ELO
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#139WTA
1646ELO
1498Grass ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Bolkvadze M.
6-4 4-6 6-3
Vandromme J.
Bolkvadze M.
6462
Vandromme J.
4631

Mariam Bolkvadze won the Wimbledon final, defeating Jeline Vandromme 6-4, 4-6, 6-3. Bolkvadze hit one ace and 11 double faults, while Vandromme had two aces and three double faults. Bolkvadze converted 45% of her break points and won five service breaks, compared to Vandromme's three service breaks and 50% break point conversion rate.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
58%
Return points won·Even
49%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
46%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 50). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Bolkvadze M.16%
Vandromme J.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Vandromme J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1486
Surface ELO
5.2+17 Grass Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1506
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1612
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw