Jan Choinski vs Zizou BergsEastbourne Quarter-final

Eastbourne · ATP · Quarter-final
#77ATP
1686ELO
1534Grass ELO
$265kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#33ATP
1808ELO
1712Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$4.1MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWWW
Choinski J.
3-6 3-6
Bergs Z.
Choinski J.
330
Bergs Z.
662

Zizou Bergs defeated Jan Choinski 6-3, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the Eastbourne tournament on grass. Bergs hit 10 aces to Choinski's 1 and committed 1 double fault to Choinski's 4. Bergs won 76% of his first-serve points and converted 33% of his break points, while Choinski converted 100% of his break points but only broke Bergs once.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17Queen's ClubQ1grassZizou Bergs7-6 6-7 6-2
2024-01-01Hong KongQ1hardJan Choinski6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
55
56
Break points saved·Even
90
89
Break points won·Slight edge
20
11
Deciding sets·Even
87
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Choinski J.27%
Bergs Z.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bergs Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.8Grass Elo 1441
Surface ELO
6.2+100 Grass Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1659
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1795
2.2Trails 0–2 on grass
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on grass
7.47 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
92

Choinski J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d) · Bergs Z.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw