Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Bianca AndreescuWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
#138WTA
1726ELO
1605Grass ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#185WTA
1701ELO
1593Grass ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLWW
Sasnovich A.
3-6 6-7
Andreescu B.
Sasnovich A.
360
Andreescu B.
672

Bianca Andreescu won the Wimbledon final, defeating Aliaksandra Sasnovich in two sets, 6-3, 7-6. The match saw Andreescu hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, while Sasnovich had 2 aces and 5 double faults. Andreescu converted 36% of break points and won 4 service breaks to Sasnovich's 3.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-09-30BeijingR64hardBianca Andreescu6-2 2-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
38
66
Break points saved·Dominant
14
66
Break points won·Slight edge
91
80
Deciding sets·Clear edge
69
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
32

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Sasnovich A.55%
Andreescu B.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0+3 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Grass Elo 1539
4.6Overall Elo 1631
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1663
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.36 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
96

Sasnovich A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Andreescu B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw