Marko Topo vs Martin KrumichTargu Mures Round of 16

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#338ATP
1463ELO
1399Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
clay
#255ATP
1459ELO
1423Clay ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWLW
Topo M.
4-6 2-6
Krumich M.
Topo M.
420
Krumich M.
662

Martin Krumich defeated Marko Topo 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Targu Mures clay court tournament. Krumich hit 3 aces and 6 double faults, winning 78% of his first serves and converting 62% of break points. He secured 5 service breaks to Topo's 2, advancing to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-29M25 Tarragona 1QFclayMarko Topo6-4 2-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
49%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
5.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
28
24
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
70
Break points won·Dominant
4
53
Deciding sets·Even
12
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
22

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Topo M.49%
Krumich M.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1508
Surface ELO
5.6+46 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1533
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1571
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
3.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
78

Topo M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Krumich M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw